Bernanke’s four errors
I am a huge fan of Ben Bernanke. He can take a significant amount of personal credit for preventing a depression. Also, The Courage to Act is a superb book.
Disappointingly, Ben’s latest contribution to the helicopter money debate is uncharacteristically poor. He is wrong on four basic points.
1. The issue of ‘permanence’ is a pointless distraction.
No one in receipt of a check from the central bank, asks: ‘Is this
permanent?’ In fact, it is not even clear that the question is meaningful.
It is a category error from the theory of taxation. The main challenge
for theoretical economists is squaring these obvious intuitions with our
models. The practical policy issues are in fact very clear.
2. Base money financed transfers from the central bank are not ‘tax cuts’.
3. Direct transfers from CBs to the private sector are in fact legal in most jurisdictions,
whereas monetary financing of budget deficits is explicitly illegal.
Ben seems completely oblivious to the major legal differences between
the US, Eurozone and UK. It is clear that the policy he is discussing
(unhelpfully calling it a ‘helicopter drop’), is simply deficit
monetisation, and is expressly illegal in the Eurozone. He also refers
to the proposal
of Simon Wren-Lewis, Mark Blyth and myself in the Guardian, but
describes it as illegal – in that article we are in fact requesting UK
legislation, in part because the UK government is highly like to
cooperate with a Bank of England request. Bernanke should be clear that
it is probably illegal for the Fed to engage in cash transfers
to households, and Congress is unlikely to cooperate with granting the
Fed further powers – so it is really only in America where
monetary policy, for institutional reasons, would now be virtually
redundant in the face of a recession. But this is patently false elsewhere.
4. Ben assumes that helicopter drops are fiscal policy. He does so without clarifying the distinction between fiscal and monetary policy, and then quotes Friedman who is very clear on the issue – and very clear that cash transfers financed with base money is monetary policy.
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