The U.S. Federal Reserve has grown massively in recent years.
Since the 2008 financial crisis, it has increased its balance sheet from
less than $1 trillion to an incredible $4.4 trillion. Given this sharp
increase in the Fed's risk, it's reasonable that the Fed should be
audited more thoroughly than in the past.
My bill to audit the
Fed is just three pages long, and simply says that the Government
Accountability Office should conduct a full audit. It has 32 co-sponsors
in the Senate and 142 in the House.
The Fed's Countdown
Legislation to audit the Fed
has twice passed the House by overwhelming majorities. The Fed opposes
the measure on the view that it is already audited enough and that a
broader audit might cause political interference.
I invite a thoughtful congressional discussion of the pros and cons
of a more thorough audit. I've been encouraged by the broad public
support for one and disappointed by the Fed's opposition. Confidence in
our currency is important to all of us, and my view is that more
information can only help.
According to Deloitte & Touche, which conducts a conventional audit
of the Fed's financial statements, the Fed spent $6.1 billion for
operating expenses in 2013 and an additional $5.2 billion in interest
paid to banks. The audit I would like to see would assess whether those
payments are reasonable and necessary or whether they raise conflicts of
interest between the Fed's role in monetary policy and its role as a
bank regulator.
The Constitution is explicit in assigning
responsibility for money to Congress, and it is particularly blunt when
it says: "No money shall be drawn from the Treasury but in consequence
of appropriations made by law." None of the payments made by the Fed are
pursuant to appropriations, but the Fed's actions facilitate the
continued growth of the national debt, which is putting our economic
future at risk.
If it goes forward with an interest-rate
increase, the Fed is contemplating a doubling of its payments to banks
to an annual rate of well more than $10 billion. In her recent
testimony, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the amounts owed to the banking
system will decline only gradually. That points to a multiyear
escalation of the Fed's payments to banks as interest rates go up. The
GAO could address the question of whether the Fed has explored more
cost-effective options.
The GAO could also determine the market value of the Fed's assets,
not just their cost or par value. If bond yields go up, the Fed could
easily find itself with a negative mark-to-market net worth.
The
Fed says it intends to hold its bond portfolio to maturity, avoiding
losses, so it isn't required to report market values under accounting
rules. But the minute the Fed's net worth falls toward zero on a
mark-to-market basis, currency markets and bond-rating companies will
know it and publicize it.
The Fed has never had a negative net
worth, so someone is sure to question the safety of a central bank with
negative net worth and its ability to run monetary policy. It would be
better if the Fed were transparent on this issue, routinely reporting
the market value of its positions and explaining the strength of its
financial position.
The Fed is able to continue adding to its size
and power, undermining monetary and fiscal policy. The Fed owns $4.5
trillion in taxpayer-guaranteed bonds, mostly Treasuries. To put these
big numbers in perspective, if all of the Fed's holdings were $200,000
houses, it would be as if the central bank owned 22 million houses
financed 100 percent by a giant, adjustable-rate mortgage.
The
Fed crows that it earns interest and has made great profits on its
portfolio. But that's just one part of government lending to another
part. There's no value creation. It's like charging interest to your
spouse and counting it as family income.
The assets are bought
not with real capital but with "computer-entry" fictions. The danger is
that, at some point, the market will become aware that quantitative
easing is an illusion and that the Fed can't cause growth or maintain
calm, zero-interest markets with more computer-entry purchases.
Danger
exists also in a market in which the most universal of prices, the
price of money, is so manipulated as to lose its essential feedback
mechanism. Danger exists in a market that is deprived of the information
that freely floating interest rates provide.
In a market economy,
savers are taught the power of compound interest and businesses learn
discipline through the cost of capital. How does that work when interest
rates have been set at zero for more than six years?
And when interest rates escape the clutches of the Fed, what happens then?
The
Fed's interest payments to banks raise numerous questions: Which banks
received the most interest? What percentage of the payments are going to
U.S. banks versus foreign banks through their U.S. branches? Are there
any conflicts of interest for the Fed in determining these payments? Are
there any checks and balances on their size?
It would be
important for a GAO audit to comment on the fiscal impact of the Fed's
decisions. Regarding the Fed's interest payments, for example, do they
increase the fiscal deficit and by how much? Could they be reduced?
The
Fed has been purchasing longer-term bonds, which tend to pay higher
yields. Has this reduced recent fiscal deficits? Is there a risk that it
will increase future fiscal deficits as interest rates rise? What are
the other ways the Fed is changing the fiscal deficit?
The Fed
worries that these types of inquiries will scare markets, but I doubt
it. The goals of the audit are constructive and clear -- to improve
transparency and ultimately to make the Fed more effective. Markets are
flexible and benefit from more information. The Fed itself has
emphasized the importance of communication with markets to enhance its
effectiveness.
The audit I want would evaluate the Fed's decisions in light of the relevant laws.
Earlier
Congresses turned much of their constitutional responsibility for money
over to the Fed, often during times of war or crisis. The Fed is
sometimes called the fourth branch of government, even though the
Constitution created only three branches. Congress is complicit in this
concentration of power, and should take responsibility for helping the
Fed find constructive limits. A more thorough audit would be a good
start.
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