giovedì 23 maggio 2019

Economist Julie Nelson Says Much of Economics is a Sham

Economist Julie Nelson Says Much of Economics is a Sham Science

We undermine our survival if we continue to imagine economics as a ethics-free and care-free sphere

By Julie Nelson
Source: http://evonomics.com/pretending-hard-science-ethics-free-julie-nelson/

Most economists, rather than seeing ourselves as studying communities of human beings, pretend to a more physics-like discipline. We model market, national, and international phenomenon using ideas of presumably universal “principles,” “laws,” and “forces.” We consider extreme mathematicization, as well as distance from normative concerns, to be signs of objectivity and rigor. Social research, we think, is for the sociologists. Normative arguments are for philosophers. And this is precisely why serious discussions of ethics in economic research are far, far overdue.
A small crack in this “ethics are not our problem” edifice appeared after the financial crisis in 2008. Media coverage, including the movie Inside Job, revealed cases of, for example, the crass slanting of economic “research” results to fit a funder’s requirements. A very modest amount of self-reflection resulted, resulting in more attention to disclosure of sources of funds. Much bigger ethical issues, however, are yet to be addressed.
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The first, and most important, is the way in which certain core economic doctrines have infiltrated, and caused widespread damage to, academic and public discussion. Ideas that originated with economists have “poisoned the well” from which we now draw our ideas of appropriate personal, organizational, and national behavior. This is having severely detrimental effects on human life on the planet. My second, more inward-looking critique, has to do with the sham nature of much of our “science.”

Poisoning the Well

Economics 101 teaches that people act out of rational, individual self-interest, that the essence of business firms is to maximize profit, and that the measure of success in national policy is a growing GDP per capita. These teachings have become increasingly performative. That is, while they originally purported to merely describe the world, they are increasing shaping people’s behavior and the structure of organizations.
Some research has suggested, for example, that the study of Econ 101 tends to encourage self-interested behavior. The model of the economic agent as a self-interested, rational, autonomous individual utility-maximizer can make “looking out for number one” seem like a reasonable—and even the only reasonable—norm for behavior in economic life. In my economics classes, I increasingly find students willing to behave opportunistically, on the reasoning that if they don’t take advantage of a situation, someone else will. They are quite unapologetic about it, believing that this is simply the way the world works, and that to do otherwise would be foolish.
The “businesses maximize profit” story has even more thoroughly permeated the conceptual well from which, it seems, we all drink. There is, of course Milton Friedman’s famous dictum, “Few trends could so thoroughly undermine the very foundations of our free society as the acceptance by corporate officials of a social responsibility other than to make as much money for their stockholders as possible”. The idea that businesses have a single, narrow financial goal is now repeated ad nauseam in the business and popular press, as well as forming the foundation for teaching in economics and management. The widening chasm between the compensation of Chief Executive Officers and ordinary workers in the United States has been was spurred by the economic theory that CEOs must be “incentivized” CEOs to act in the interest of shareholders.
Yet the damage goes much further. Many critics of corporate abuses and rising inequality now also subscribe to the economist-created dogma about the essence of business. Arguing the case for an ethics of justice and sustainability from a Buddhist point of view, for example, David Loy argues that “Corporations are legally charted so that their first responsibility is not to their employees or customers, nor to other members of the societies thy are part of, nor to the ecosystems of the earth, but to those who own them, who with very few exceptions are concerned primarily about return on investment”. As a result, most aspirations for “alternative economies” tend to veer towards utopian or state-directed visions of communitarianism that are of limited practical value.
The message seems to be, from both right and left, that business is–by its very nature–an ethics-free, and care-free, sphere. And the pool of poison continues to spread, even beyond the business sphere. One recent article, for example, proclaimed “Whether we like it or not, colleges and universities are a business. They sell education to customers….While the typical for-profit firm tries to maximize its profit, non-profit universities generally try to maximize their endowments or operating revenue…” The poison has even spread to thinking about nations: Applying to nations the economists’ dictum that only actions that serve self-interest will be chosen, Posner and Weisbach argue that global climate “justice” will likely involve poorer nations, who are feeling this environmental crisis first, making payments to richer ones, to compensate them for the loss of GDP they will suffer by taking action.
These narrow, doctrinaire, and ethically scandalous claims could—and should—seem ridiculous to anyone with a modicum of social sophistication and humanistic sensibility. But even if you put ethics aside, standard economics doctrines don’t stand up to a pragmatically and empirically grounded view of the world. Any serious, grounded analysis shows that economic systems actually require a good deal of concern with ethics, interpersonal trust, and other-regarding behavior to function well. Purely opportunistic personal behavior, far from driving a market system, actually destroys it.
Moving to the organizational level, the widespread belief that profit maximization is required by corporate charters, or by other legal or economic mandates, is actually false (Stout, 2012). Even when leaders of corporations may seem to be trying to “maximize” something, in practice profits for shareholders is generally not the goal. Personal wealth and/or expansion for expansion’s sake are far more frequent, among the possible self-interested goals. The profit-maximization story also obfuscates socially positive business goals, supported by many leaders who have a broader and more long-term perspective. These include providing useful, healthy products; creating good places to work; promoting environmental sustainability; and supporting innovation. Among non-profits, some leaders act like self-interested business executives, but some still try to educate, promote health, or serve another social purpose. While short-sighted national self-interest may include a concern for GDP per capita, aspirations related to territorial power and pride seem to be at least as prominent. Taking a longer-term view, national interests clearly must include attaining the sort of global cooperation needed to seriously addressing climate change. Businesses, non-profits, and nations are social communities of humans, with all the complexity that this implies. A more accurate and balanced understanding of human personal and organizational behavior as including both reasonable self-interest and reasonable care–for others and for the natural environment–offers, I believe, our best chance for a survivable future.
So why do the economic ideologies have so much power? One explanation is that since such teachings serve the short-term interest of various wealthy and powerful parties, they can receive well-funded dissemination via education and the media. Yet there is another important reason: The effective disguising of economic doctrines as “scientific.”

Pretending to be a “Hard Science”

Good science can be described as a process of systematic and open-minded investigation. Results should be carefully and intelligently compared to evidence brought forth from a wide and diverse community of investigators before being accepted as reliable. Models should be presented as what they really are: devices that some particular group of humans have found to be useful for examining some particular set of issues.
Examined in light of these standards, much of economics is a sham science. Instead of being open-minded about our core models, assumptions, and methods, we have made narrow selections and then allowed these to harden into dogma. There is a clear “macho” bias in preferring explanations based on self-interest to consideration of community interest, preferring mathematical analysis to qualitative analysis, preferring consideration of rational motivations to inclusion of emotional ones, and so on. In our textbooks, we teach our narrow models as revealed truth, rather than as limited tools. Instead of seriously evaluating the reliability of our knowledge, we follow established habits of claiming “rigor,” based on the mathematics of our models and on econometric “tests.” The recent popularity of Randomized Control Trials has tended to revitalize a belief that objectivity can be achieved by simply following formulaic rules, with little attention to context or to the possibility of implicit biases.
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I could point out how these biases comprise economic practice with many examples, but for brevity let me focus on just one. Recently, there has been a growing awareness in many fields–particularly in the biomedical sciences and in psychology–about the dangers of using “statistical significance” to decide which results are worthy of dissemination. The notion of rejecting null hypotheses based on p-values had been, for a long time, taken as the definition of “rigor” in empirical practice. Yet, as is now being shown, the following of such simplistic, mindless rules can actually cause severe distortions to arise in a literature. With many variations in data samples and model specifications open to most researchers, “p-hacking” to create publishable results has become rife. In a recent meta-analysis I undertook of the economics literature on preferences for risk-taking, I found not only publication bias (a preference towards statistically significant results), but also confirmation bias (a preference for results which confirm an author’s own stereotypes about gendered behavior). Yet I have seen little action within the economics profession, much less within economics education, to—honestly and ethically–face up to the fact that our customary beliefs about “rigor” are seriously flawed.

Conclusion

We seriously undermine the ability of the economy to do its job—that is, to provide for the sustaining and flourishing of life—if we continue to imagine it as an ethics-free and care-free sphere. Economic dogmas, misleadingly presented as scientific and widely disseminated through education and the media, are largely to blame for this damage. The field of economics is far overdue for an thorough-going ethical wake-up call.
Originally published at ISRF Bulletin.
2016 December 6
References
Brennan, Jason and Phillip Magness (2016). “Estimating the Cost of Justice for Adjuncts: A Case Study in University Business Ethics.” Journal of Business Ethics.
Friedman, Milton (1982). Capitalism and Freedom. Chicago, University of Chicago Press.
Loy, David R. (2015). A New Buddhist Path: Enlightenment, Evolution, and Ethics in the Modern World. Boston, Wisdom publications.
Nelson, Julie A. (2014). “The Power of Stereotyping and Confirmation Bias to Overwhelm Accurate Assessment: The Case of Economics, Gender, and Risk Aversion.” Journal of Economic Methodology 21(3): 211-231.
Nelson, Julie A. (2016a). “Husbandry: a (feminist) reclamation of masculine responsibility for care.” Cambridge Journal of Economics 40(1): 1-15.
Nelson, Julie A. (2016b). Poisoning the Well, or How Economic Theory Damages Moral Imagination. The Oxford Handbook of Professional Economic Ethics. G. DeMartino and D. McCloskey. Oxford, Oxford Univesity Press: 184-199.
Posner, Eric A. and David Weisbach (2010). Climate Change Justice. Princeton, Princeton University Press.
Stout, Lynn (2012). The Shareholder Value Myth: How Putting Shareholders First Harms Investors, Corporations, and the Public. San Francisco, Berrett-Koehler.

giovedì 28 marzo 2019

The ECB was caught stealing gold from Italy !

The Bank of Italy Gold 
(by Nino Galloni)
Source: https://scenarieconomici.it/loro-di-banca-ditalia-di-nino-galloni/

Mario Draghi responded directly to the yellow-and-green European MEPs questions on the subject. He spoke of the ECB's right to hold and manage currency resources (based on Article 30 of the ECB Statute). It is therefore two aspects: if it manages and holds it means that it is not the owner, in other words that it cannot sell; but if gold is a currency reserve it may have to be sold (at least in theory) based on obvious needs.


 

However, in these situations, to sell (extraordinary act) the authorization of a higher-level authority is required in the interest of the owner (Italian people, inalienable assets; Italian state, alienable assets); but this superordinate authority does not exist. Therefore, of the two, one: or gold is a reserve, then the guarantee authority is missing (as in the case of the property of a minor or a subject not considered independent); or gold cannot be sold and then it is not "reserve". In fact, the second and even more delicate aspect: the ECB Statute speaks of foreign exchange reserves, but gold could be considered as such when there was the pledge of the currency to gold (and to other currencies with fixed exchange rates between them and gold convertibility established by international agreements). Today this is no longer the case: the sale of gold in the various currencies (or vice versa) is not decided by agreements or by an authority, but by the free market.

The question would be very simple in a historical perspective: after 1971 it is a resource, not a reserve (in a technical-monetary sense). The only competence of the ECB, therefore, concerns the authorization regime towards the Bank of Italy in terms of supervision over it as required by the Treaties and by the same Statute.

martedì 19 marzo 2019

Felwine Sar: "Africa does not have to catch up with anyone"

"Africa does not have to catch up with anyone"
Senegalese economist Felwine Sarr calls for abandonment of European values and development goals for Africa.
By Winfried Veit | 03/18/2019

Source:  https://www.ipg-journal.de/aus-meinem-buecherschrank/artikel/afrika-muss-niemanden-einholen-3329/



When a delegation of German parliamentarians headed by Foreign Minister Heiko Maas recently visited West African Mali, one of the deputies, according to a correspondent's report, offered a sobering picture: the weak state could not guarantee security, broken trains would stand for lack of infrastructure, the capital would suffocate in the garbage, economic growth is too weak. It is a picture that does not surprise Africa connoisseurs and that is not only true of Mali, but even more drastic in other African countries.

But does not this look through the Western glasses obscure the understanding of a completely different reality? Exactly this question poses the Senegalese economist, author and musician Felwine Sarr in his now published book in German "Afrotopia", which was already published in 2016 in French. And he answers them with a clear and clear yes, which he bases on 176 pages of his in many places almost lyrical and philosophical essay. Sarr, in the very postcolonial tradition, questions the universality of Western values ​​and models of development. According to Sarr, Sarr believes that it is not only the uncritical adoption of Western concepts such as development, growth, nation or representative democracy by the African elites, but above all that the West has succeeded in bringing "its ideas of human progress into the collective Imaginary of others ".
 
 It is not just about the appropriation of one culture by another, but more fatal and the appropriation and acceptance of the "image" that others make of this culture. With his criticism, Sarr follows up on the theses of Edward Said, who has mainly focused on "Orientalism", a trend emanating from Europe at the end of the 19th century, which has given its own stereotypes to the Middle East, some of them up to reverberate today. Similarly with Africa, Sarr demands nothing less than a "spiritual revolution" that puts an end to the "servile imitation of political models based on very different foundations and because they have no relation to the local (African) reality have, for extraversion, that is to lead to alienation. "

A departure from the "colonial library" and turning to a "pre-colonial library" was necessary. It is meant to throw overboard the narrative imposed by the colonial rulers of Africa and to reflect on the pre-colonial history of the "cradle of humanity". All the more so since since the Second World War in postmodern Europe its "great cultural orientations" are in disintegration: family, nation, sense of duty, social responsibility. Instead, there is now an extreme individualism, the cult of hedonism, fragmented identities and any social practices. In addition to the demographic, economic, political, cultural and social devastation caused by four centuries of slave trade and a century of colonization, there is now the "profound crisis of Western civilization", with which Europe and the West have finally served as models. As such, Japan in the Meiji era in the 19th century or the post-Hiroshima Japan, which both acquired Western technology while preserving its own tradition, are most likely to be considered. China, on the other hand, sees Sarr in the very colonial tradition of providing some infrastructure against the exploitation of natural resources and the colonization of lands.
 
 No, "Africa does not have to catch up with anyone. It no longer needs to walk on predetermined paths, but to take the path that it has chosen to swiftly follow. "But this path remains somewhat vague except for the constant references to the rediscovery of one's own tradition. Admittedly, Afrotopia is admittedly a utopia, but in Sarr's words it is an "active utopia that seeks to unearth the vast spaces of possibility within African reality and make them fruitful." If he opposes the Western He prefers to accept growth fetishism and instead focuses on the needs of the peoples. The same applies to his demand for a more ecological orientation of an African development model and the questioning of the Western concept of the nation. But all of this remains largely at odds, as it also somewhat nonchalantly overlooks the consequences of dramatic population growth in Africa, whose population will double by 2050 to two billion people. It is noteworthy, however, that Africa's share of world population at the beginning of the slave trade in the 16th century was 20 percent, at the end of which in the 19th century only 9 percent. If one could regard the re-growth to over 20 per cent by 2050 as compensatory justice, then it is certainly not sufficient to not only feed this growing number, but also to convey "education and the conditions for a life in dignity, in peace "in safety and freedom" must grant.

Despite some weaknesses, "Afrotopia" is a readable and worthy book by an African intellectual of the post-colonial generation, who recently became known to a wider public in Germany as co-author of a report to the French president about the return of looted colonial objects. The book should also give the West, and Europe in particular, more to think about in terms of, for example, devastating trade policies, but also the prevalent moral arrogance of making European values ​​the measure of all things, despite all the 're-rhetoric'


domenica 17 marzo 2019

The Matrix Revealed: Cartels That Run The World

The Matrix Revealed: Cartels That Run The World

by Jon Rappoport
March 16, 2019
Source: https://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/2019/03/16/matrix-revealed-cartels-run-world/

The following information comes from insider interviews with Ellis Medavoy and Richard Bell, two people I interview extensively in my collection, The Matrix Revealed. This is just a brief taste of what they have to say…

Major institutions on this planet that control Military, Money, Energy, Government, Medical, Corporate, Media, and Education are becoming, more and more, global cartels, horizontally integrated across national borders.
This is more than a top-down command process. It’s organically evolving. Three steps forward, two steps back. There is a great deal of competition among the components of a given cartel, but there is also cooperation. And in the long run, the see-saw is tipping in the direction of cooperation, as these entities realize they may well have more to gain that way.

I can’t stress too strongly this EVOLVING process. All attempts to merely assume twelve men in a room run the planet fall woefully short.
Instead, over time, people who lead a powerful institution (like Energy, for example) look out and recognize more major players, and in this recognition there is an impulse to compete and win and destroy, but there is also an impulse to build commonality and therefore monopolize the entire territory.
During one conversation with retired master propagandist Ellis Medavoy, I asked him about the extent of mutual cooperation in his given field, psychological warfare.

He responded:
“Twenty years ago, I would have said we were all operating separately and jealously. Each of us was mining his own contacts and building his false pictures of reality for the masses. But then things began to change. Globally. First of all, more of us were pushing the same holograms. And because communication and travel were speeding up so rapidly, we were working a lot of the same venues. We would run into each other more often. We began to share information. I mean, it was cautious. We weren’t gushing with unbridled love, I assure you. The competitive factor was still strong. And we had fights. But through all that, we began to see through the fog, so to speak. We began to understand the effectiveness of cooperating. We would test each other with privileged information, to see if we could trust each other to keep it private. A tidbit here, a tidbit there.

“And you see, behind us, other groups were finding commonality, too. For example, in the area of medical propaganda, where I operated a lot of the time. And these groups saw they could join together for specific operations, on an international scale. They could push enormous lies globally, and everyone of their class would profit and gain wider control. So I would find myself working with a psy warfare guy from, say, France, or Germany in a joint venture. We would rub elbows. We’d be feeding from the same basic money trough.
“We’d both be briefed by a team of intelligence experts, and those experts would be of several nationalities. Slowly, I saw a new kind of umbrella structure emerging.

“See, suppose during the secret lead-up to a planned economic crisis [money cartel], you can distract everybody with a phony epidemic [medical cartel]. Do you see? Leaders perceive a reason to cooperate. Planners become more intelligent and clever. They reach across lines they never would have reached across before…
“You begin to see the outlines of a much more inclusive future structure. This is multi-front warfare.”

Richard Bell, another former insider, said to me: “People like to assume that money is everything. If you can limit the amount of money the public has, eventually they weaken and cave in and they’re easier to control. And this is certainly true. But on the other hand, as mega-corporations gain more power and range and markets, you have a clash, because those corporations, which are now cooperating in ways they never have, as a cartel in some respects, want customers for their products. They don’t want abject poverty across the board. People have to be able to buy their products.

“So there is a heavy conflict. It’s a conflict between elite bankers [money cartel] and mega-corporations [corporation cartel]. It needs to be resolved through advance planning, over the long term. So now you have these powerful men sitting down and talking in a new way. Other big-time players get involved, too [government, media, energy cartels, for example].”

This is just the beginning of what these people have to say about the Matrix in their interviews and how it REALLY works.

The Matrix Revealed
(To read about Jon’s mega-collection, The Matrix Revealed, click here.)

venerdì 15 marzo 2019

CARIGE CASE: THE ITALIAN GOVERNMENT IS LOSING 10 EUR BILLION

CARIGE CASE: THE GOVERNMENT IS LOSING 10 EUR BILLION

Rome, March 13, 2019 (OPI) - In the 25 billion lawsuit filed by MS, defended by the lawyer. Marco Della Luna at the Court of Genoa, the bank has refused the finding and the forfeiture of the sum of 25 billion found through the accounting analysis of the corporate balance sheet of CARIGE of 2013.
Appeals now to see the ownership of the entire sum to the finder recognized, pursuant to art. 929 of the civil code. If the Court continues to refuse CARIGE's accounting analysis for the fourth time, through a court-appointed expert (CTU), the State risks losing forever more than 10 billion of taxes that would derive from the assignment of the amount raised to the finder, after having lost them for the bank's refusal to accept this finding.
The question of accounting for the creation of money by the bank, a creation that officially emerged with the reply from the Bank of Italy to the question of the Hon. Villarosa in the Sixth Finance Commission in May 2017 (question 5-11277) asking for the overall volumes created by the central bank and commercial banks, also emerged in a World Bank document in May 2018, The Accounting View of Money, signed by Biagio Bossone and Massimo Costa. The lawyer Marco Della Luna points out that if the cause is not adequately considered by the Genoese Court, the current government will lose access definitively to 10 billion of revenues that could solve the current budget difficulties. It would be another chance lost by a government that promises a change that we are all waiting for. The State should intervene in the case through its advocacy and also make the Revenue Agency intervene so as not to betray the promises made to the defrauded savers and the dismissed workers.

mercoledì 6 marzo 2019

World Bank’s Legal Immunity Stripped, Opening Door for Lawsuits

The World Bank headquarters in Washington, D.C.
World Bank DC HQ

Evicted and Abandoned

World Bank’s Legal Immunity Stripped, Opening Door for Lawsuits

The Supreme Court of the United States has rejected World Bank claims of complete legal immunity, ruling that one of its arms can be sued in relation to lending activities.
The 7-1 ruling could also open other American-based international organizations to the threat of lawsuits over financing overseas development.
For the World Bank, it means that it now faces having to defend against a suit by members of a fishing community in Mundra, India, who contend that their homes and livelihoods were damaged by pollution from a coal power plant that was financed by the bank’s private sector lending arm, the Washington, D.C.-based International Finance Corporation.
Bharat Patel, general secretary of the Association for the Struggle of Fisherworkers’ Rights, one of the plaintiffs, welcomed the historic ruling, saying:  “This is a huge victory for the people of Mundra [and a] major step towards holding the World Bank accountable for the negative impacts their investments are causing.”
ICIJ covered the plight of the fishing community and the bank’s refusal to recognize its claims as part of its 2015 Evicted and Abandoned investigation.  The project found that about 3.4 million people were physically or economically displaced by World Bank-funded development projects between 2004 and 2013, and that the bank often failed to follow its own rules for properly resettling these communities.
The legal case surrounded a 1945 law which granted international organizations “the same immunity from suit” as foreign governments.
The court had to decide how that law was impacted by a second one from 1976 excluding commercial activities by foreign governments from this immunity.
The Feb. 27 ruling does not reportedly affect either the United Nations or the International Monetary Fund, as they have complete immunity under their charters.
The World Bank argued that the exclusion on the immunity of commercial activities did not apply to it. If it could be for sued for its development loans, the bank maintained, it would become a target for lawsuits around the world that would cripple its ability to perform its core mission of fighting poverty and promoting development.
Fisherfolk in northwest India claim an IFC-funded power plant has contributed to depleted fish stocks.
Fisherfolk in northwest India claim an IFC-funded power plant has contributed to depleted fish stocks
“Those concerns are inflated,” the Supreme Court held in its ruling.
Justice Stephen G. Breyer dissented; newly appointed Justice Brett Kavanaugh did not participate.
Breyer warned that the majority ruling would “create uncertainty” for international organizations involved in finance.
Two lower courts had sided with the World Bank on the immunity question.
Lawyers for EarthRights International, which represents the plaintiffs, say that the World Bank must be accountable if its actions or its negligence harms local populations. The fishing community’s case against the bank will now be allowed to proceed in lower courts in the U.S.
“Immunity from all legal accountability does not further the development goals of international organizations,” said Marco Simon, the General Counsel for EarthRights. “It simply leads them to be careless, which is what happened here.”

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