lunedì 16 dicembre 2024

"Quantitative Balancing" - A proposal from Italy

"Quantitative Balancing" - A proposal from Italy


If the item "Deposits" were indeed reclassified as "Debts to the US Treasury" in the banks' balance sheets (seigniorage), a corresponding amount would appear in the Treasury balance sheet as an asset.

 If the banking money (M2 minus base currency amount to $18.2 trillion of seigniorage) is factored as Treasury credits, it effectively offsets the national debt by that same amount. The adjusted debt-to-GDP ratio would then be calculated as follows:

To calculate how the debt-to-GDP ratio changes for the U.S. with the updated scenario involving M2 less base currency and national debt figures, we can follow this process:

  1. Debt-to-GDP Ratio Formula:

    Debt-to-GDP Ratio=National DebtNominal GDP×100\text{Debt-to-GDP Ratio} = \frac{\text{National Debt}}{\text{Nominal GDP}} \times 100
  2. Updated Context:

    • M2 less base currency amount is $18.2 trillion (this can be interpreted as a proxy for the money supply outside the Federal Reserve).
    • National debt is $36.2 trillion.
    • Nominal GDP for the U.S. (as of recent estimates) is approximately $26.7 trillion (2024 projection).
  3. Adjustments:
    In this case, if we want to link M2 less base currency to debt management or its relation to GDP, we might interpret it as a change in how debt interacts with liquidity or financing mechanisms. However, the core calculation still uses the national debt and nominal GDP values unless additional assumptions redefine GDP with monetary aggregates.

  4. Calculation:
    Using the national debt ($36.2 trillion) and GDP ($26.7 trillion):

    Debt-to-GDP Ratio=36.2/26.7×100135.6%\text{Debt-to-GDP Ratio} = \frac{36.2}{26.7} \times 100 \approx 135.6\%

Initial Parameters

  1. National Debt: $36.2 trillion
  2. M2 minus Base Currency (Treasury Credits): $18.2 trillion
  3. Nominal GDP: $26.7 trillion (2024 projection)

Adjusted National Debt

The national debt after considering Treasury credits becomes:

Adjusted National Debt=National DebtTreasury Credits\text{Adjusted National Debt} = \text{National Debt} - \text{Treasury Credits} Adjusted National Debt=36.218.2=18.0 trillion\text{Adjusted National Debt} = 36.2 - 18.2 = 18.0 \text{ trillion}

Adjusted Debt-to-GDP Ratio

Using the adjusted national debt, the debt-to-GDP ratio becomes:

Debt-to-GDP Ratio=Adjusted National DebtNominal GDP
×100
\text{Debt-to-GDP Ratio} = \frac{\text{Adjusted National Debt}}{\text{Nominal GDP}} \times 100
Debt-to-GDP Ratio=18.026.7×10067.4%\text{Debt-to-GDP Ratio} = \frac{18.0}{26.7} \times 100 \approx 67.4\%

Key Outcome

Factoring M2 minus base currency as Treasury credits reduces the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio significantly:

  • Original Debt-to-GDP Ratio: 135.6%
  • Adjusted Debt-to-GDP Ratio: 67.4%

This reclassification highlights how leveraging Treasury credits could transform the perception of fiscal health by effectively reducing the nominal burden of national debt.

giovedì 5 dicembre 2024

David Rogers Webb Part 2: Facing up to The Great Taking and Ending Central Banking

 


Paul Buitink talks again to David Rogers Webb, former hedge fund manager at Verus and author of The Great Taking. In this episode David first summarizes what The Great Taking is about and then explains what's happening at the State level to change the UCC law to avoid the Great Taking from taking place. There are some successes in Tennessee and South Dakota, but also threats from the banking lobby. He is skeptical about Trump and the Federal government in general since they all work for the same people. Change needs to come from the people themselves. He wants the Federal Reserve to be repealed and for the States to take back power, including the minting of their own coins. In general he advises to cut out the middle man and pay off debt. He also gives his opinion on Bitcoin. Previous interview has been watched over 350k times and can be watched here:    • David Rogers Webb on how to stop “The...   More info about David and his initiatives: https://thegreattaking.com/the-docume... https://trunorthpublicpolicy.com/ Follow Paul Buitink on X at @paulbuitink

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